Live 2020 Election Turnout Tracker

Welcome to the Sixty-Six Wards Turnout Tracker! Voters across Philadelphia are sharing their turnout to support citizen science.

First, vote! Then, share your division and Voter Number at http://bit.ly/sixtysixturnout.

Live Results

As of 10:30 AM, 113 voters in 23 wards have shared their voter number. I estimate that 207,882 people have voted in person across the city (95% Confidence Interval: 135,395 - 273,910). In addition, 342,044 mail-in ballots have already been returned, and 93,385 are still outstanding.

Maps

I use historic correlations among divisions’ turnout to estimate turnout in the divisions with no data yet. I simultaneously estimate (1) the overall city-wide turnout, (2) divisions’ over-/under-performance, and (3) the city-wide time pattern of voting. See the Methodology.

Total Turnout (In-Person + Mail-In)

In-Person Turnout

Mail-In Requests

Mail-In Ballots Returned

Raw Responses (for debugging)

Submissions

Data Tables

For those of you who like tables with numbers.

Estimated Turnout by Ward
ward time_of_day turnout turnout_p025 turnout_p975
01 10:30 AM 2672 c(2.5% = 1925) c(97.5% = 3196)
02 10:30 AM 4307 c(2.5% = 3333) c(97.5% = 5027)
03 10:30 AM 2677 c(2.5% = 1658) c(97.5% = 3524)
04 10:30 AM 2749 c(2.5% = 1653) c(97.5% = 3646)
05 10:30 AM 6357 c(2.5% = 4779) c(97.5% = 7464)
06 10:30 AM 1798 c(2.5% = 1164) c(97.5% = 2303)
07 10:30 AM 2103 c(2.5% = 860) c(97.5% = 3566)
08 10:30 AM 6077 c(2.5% = 4716) c(97.5% = 7151)
09 10:30 AM 2910 c(2.5% = 2048) c(97.5% = 3498)
10 10:30 AM 3871 c(2.5% = 2497) c(97.5% = 5007)
11 10:30 AM 1767 c(2.5% = 1038) c(97.5% = 2405)
12 10:30 AM 2963 c(2.5% = 1845) c(97.5% = 3891)
13 10:30 AM 2697 c(2.5% = 1644) c(97.5% = 3575)
14 10:30 AM 1142 c(2.5% = 760) c(97.5% = 1428)
15 10:30 AM 3097 c(2.5% = 2369) c(97.5% = 3750)
16 10:30 AM 1507 c(2.5% = 847) c(97.5% = 2130)
17 10:30 AM 3277 c(2.5% = 2031) c(97.5% = 4279)
18 10:30 AM 2642 c(2.5% = 1914) c(97.5% = 3233)
19 10:30 AM 1514 c(2.5% = 703) c(97.5% = 2408)
20 10:30 AM 1396 c(2.5% = 761) c(97.5% = 1988)
21 10:30 AM 7351 c(2.5% = 5239) c(97.5% = 9095)
22 10:30 AM 3937 c(2.5% = 2774) c(97.5% = 4936)
23 10:30 AM 2546 c(2.5% = 1504) c(97.5% = 3397)
24 10:30 AM 2091 c(2.5% = 1294) c(97.5% = 2730)
25 10:30 AM 2123 c(2.5% = 1248) c(97.5% = 2911)
26 10:30 AM 2797 c(2.5% = 1978) c(97.5% = 3386)
27 10:30 AM 3673 c(2.5% = 2287) c(97.5% = 4565)
28 10:30 AM 1601 c(2.5% = 902) c(97.5% = 2261)
29 10:30 AM 1504 c(2.5% = 990) c(97.5% = 1951)
30 10:30 AM 2806 c(2.5% = 2165) c(97.5% = 3372)
31 10:30 AM 2339 c(2.5% = 1815) c(97.5% = 2665)
32 10:30 AM 2642 c(2.5% = 1487) c(97.5% = 3679)
33 10:30 AM 2375 c(2.5% = 1079) c(97.5% = 3757)
34 10:30 AM 5491 c(2.5% = 3619) c(97.5% = 6979)
35 10:30 AM 3869 c(2.5% = 2265) c(97.5% = 5168)
36 10:30 AM 4396 c(2.5% = 2900) c(97.5% = 5431)
37 10:30 AM 1727 c(2.5% = 945) c(97.5% = 2491)
38 10:30 AM 2731 c(2.5% = 1855) c(97.5% = 3550)
39 10:30 AM 5283 c(2.5% = 3812) c(97.5% = 6518)
40 10:30 AM 5811 c(2.5% = 3559) c(97.5% = 7587)
41 10:30 AM 2392 c(2.5% = 1391) c(97.5% = 3333)
42 10:30 AM 3084 c(2.5% = 1629) c(97.5% = 4444)
43 10:30 AM 2484 c(2.5% = 1211) c(97.5% = 3806)
44 10:30 AM 1848 c(2.5% = 1113) c(97.5% = 2448)
45 10:30 AM 2658 c(2.5% = 1606) c(97.5% = 3620)
46 10:30 AM 3293 c(2.5% = 2440) c(97.5% = 4095)
47 10:30 AM 1093 c(2.5% = 660) c(97.5% = 1450)
48 10:30 AM 2581 c(2.5% = 1614) c(97.5% = 3285)
49 10:30 AM 3336 c(2.5% = 2003) c(97.5% = 4461)
50 10:30 AM 4397 c(2.5% = 3094) c(97.5% = 5656)
51 10:30 AM 2956 c(2.5% = 1833) c(97.5% = 3954)
52 10:30 AM 3533 c(2.5% = 2424) c(97.5% = 4616)
53 10:30 AM 2672 c(2.5% = 1549) c(97.5% = 3625)
54 10:30 AM 1998 c(2.5% = 1066) c(97.5% = 2873)
55 10:30 AM 3118 c(2.5% = 1839) c(97.5% = 4339)
56 10:30 AM 4426 c(2.5% = 2791) c(97.5% = 5928)
57 10:30 AM 3755 c(2.5% = 2450) c(97.5% = 4921)
58 10:30 AM 6361 c(2.5% = 4054) c(97.5% = 8385)
59 10:30 AM 3122 c(2.5% = 2011) c(97.5% = 3993)
60 10:30 AM 2502 c(2.5% = 1603) c(97.5% = 3210)
61 10:30 AM 3874 c(2.5% = 2343) c(97.5% = 5169)
62 10:30 AM 2951 c(2.5% = 1631) c(97.5% = 4190)
63 10:30 AM 3530 c(2.5% = 2414) c(97.5% = 4534)
64 10:30 AM 2089 c(2.5% = 1275) c(97.5% = 2859)
65 10:30 AM 2955 c(2.5% = 1936) c(97.5% = 3890)
66 10:30 AM 6259 c(2.5% = 4049) c(97.5% = 8203)

Raw Submissions

Submitted Data
Time of Vote Precinct Voter Number
7:10 AM 5107 2
7:41 AM 0537 24
7:42 AM 0501 14
7:43 AM 0828 33
7:03 AM 2714 2
7:40 AM 1508 38
7:48 AM 1503 38
7:48 AM 1503 38
7:25 AM 0214 16
7:56 AM 3636 33
7:13 AM 0218 9
8:07 AM 4603 27
8:16 AM 0218 60
8:18 AM 0222 68
8:10 AM 1810 36
8:20 AM 3635 57
8:30 AM 3110 55
8:32 AM 0532 69
8:30 AM 2707 45
8:32 AM 2702 48
8:15 AM 3901 52
8:15 AM 3640 64
8:38 AM 3638 55
8:38 AM 3637 31
8:42 AM 0525 64
8:40 AM 0501 36
7:30 AM 0202 28
8:40 AM 0537 56
8:12 AM 4616 41
8:35 AM 3909 65
8:43 AM 0517 69
8:49 AM 0834 73
8:49 AM 0206 69
8:50 AM 0828 77
8:07 AM 0801 40
7:30 AM 3640 31
7:30 AM 3104 29
8:50 AM 0213 25
8:40 AM 2717 56
8:45 AM 2101 47
8:25 AM 3945 52
7:48 AM 1503 38
7:48 AM 1503 38
9:02 AM 1503 92
7:15 AM 0902 12
8:40 AM 2717 56
7:01 AM 0807 13
9:09 AM 4701 73
8:50 AM 0213 25
9:10 AM 1514 81
7:55 AM 1517 30
9:00 AM 3914 40
8:00 AM 5702 60
8:30 AM 2105 91
8:30 AM 2105 91
9:15 AM 2714 51
8:15 AM 2605 56
9:20 AM 3637 100
9:20 AM 3638 79
8:30 AM 0521 92
9:20 AM 0532 112
9:15 AM 1802 73
9:24 AM 2911 62
9:03 AM 0229 95
9:23 AM 0812 138
8:50 AM 0828 77
9:00 AM 3107 100
9:15 AM 3639 86
9:15 AM 0120 76
9:30 AM 0308 109
9:30 AM 0807 98
9:25 AM 3610 84
9:34 AM 0818 50
9:34 AM 0818 50
9:35 AM 0817 107
8:40 AM 1514 68
8:00 AM 0106 69
8:40 AM 1514 68
9:38 AM 6008 49
9:30 AM 3636 108
7:15 AM 0114 9
9:46 AM 3111 104
9:47 AM 0204 72
9:50 AM 0505 92
9:55 AM 0528 148
9:45 AM 0224 110
9:45 AM 0224 109
7:45 AM 0517 35
9:58 AM 3636 120
9:49 AM 2212 74
8:00 AM 0817 100
10:05 AM 1503 129
10:02 AM 0517 135
8:15 AM 3516 56
7:20 AM 2217 17
8:15 AM 3516 56
7:40 AM 2105 45
10:00 AM 0110 97
9:40 AM 0222 97
10:00 AM 2622 82
10:03 AM 3006 101
8:15 AM 2619 77
10:02 AM 0835 100
10:18 AM 3104 156
10:20 AM 4701 114
7:45 AM 0516 41
10:18 AM 0515 420
8:28 AM 0516 70
9:50 AM 0505 92
10:15 AM 3641 78
9:50 AM 0505 92
10:29 AM 0509 188
10:30 AM 1513 95

Download the csvs: - Raw Submissions - Division Predictions