Live 2020 Election Turnout Tracker
Welcome to the Sixty-Six Wards Turnout Tracker! Voters across Philadelphia are sharing their turnout to support citizen science.
First, vote! Then, share your division and Voter Number at http://bit.ly/sixtysixturnout.
Live Results
As of 10:30 AM, 113 voters in 23 wards have shared their voter number. I estimate that 207,882 people have voted in person across the city (95% Confidence Interval: 135,395 - 273,910). In addition, 342,044 mail-in ballots have already been returned, and 93,385 are still outstanding.
Maps
I use historic correlations among divisions’ turnout to estimate turnout in the divisions with no data yet. I simultaneously estimate (1) the overall city-wide turnout, (2) divisions’ over-/under-performance, and (3) the city-wide time pattern of voting. See the Methodology.
Total Turnout (In-Person + Mail-In)
In-Person Turnout
Mail-In Requests
Mail-In Ballots Returned
Raw Responses (for debugging)
Submissions
Data Tables
For those of you who like tables with numbers. 
| ward | time_of_day | turnout | turnout_p025 | turnout_p975 |
| 01 | 10:30 AM | 2672 |
c(2.5% = 1925)
|
c(97.5% = 3196)
|
| 02 | 10:30 AM | 4307 |
c(2.5% = 3333)
|
c(97.5% = 5027)
|
| 03 | 10:30 AM | 2677 |
c(2.5% = 1658)
|
c(97.5% = 3524)
|
| 04 | 10:30 AM | 2749 |
c(2.5% = 1653)
|
c(97.5% = 3646)
|
| 05 | 10:30 AM | 6357 |
c(2.5% = 4779)
|
c(97.5% = 7464)
|
| 06 | 10:30 AM | 1798 |
c(2.5% = 1164)
|
c(97.5% = 2303)
|
| 07 | 10:30 AM | 2103 |
c(2.5% = 860)
|
c(97.5% = 3566)
|
| 08 | 10:30 AM | 6077 |
c(2.5% = 4716)
|
c(97.5% = 7151)
|
| 09 | 10:30 AM | 2910 |
c(2.5% = 2048)
|
c(97.5% = 3498)
|
| 10 | 10:30 AM | 3871 |
c(2.5% = 2497)
|
c(97.5% = 5007)
|
| 11 | 10:30 AM | 1767 |
c(2.5% = 1038)
|
c(97.5% = 2405)
|
| 12 | 10:30 AM | 2963 |
c(2.5% = 1845)
|
c(97.5% = 3891)
|
| 13 | 10:30 AM | 2697 |
c(2.5% = 1644)
|
c(97.5% = 3575)
|
| 14 | 10:30 AM | 1142 |
c(2.5% = 760)
|
c(97.5% = 1428)
|
| 15 | 10:30 AM | 3097 |
c(2.5% = 2369)
|
c(97.5% = 3750)
|
| 16 | 10:30 AM | 1507 |
c(2.5% = 847)
|
c(97.5% = 2130)
|
| 17 | 10:30 AM | 3277 |
c(2.5% = 2031)
|
c(97.5% = 4279)
|
| 18 | 10:30 AM | 2642 |
c(2.5% = 1914)
|
c(97.5% = 3233)
|
| 19 | 10:30 AM | 1514 |
c(2.5% = 703)
|
c(97.5% = 2408)
|
| 20 | 10:30 AM | 1396 |
c(2.5% = 761)
|
c(97.5% = 1988)
|
| 21 | 10:30 AM | 7351 |
c(2.5% = 5239)
|
c(97.5% = 9095)
|
| 22 | 10:30 AM | 3937 |
c(2.5% = 2774)
|
c(97.5% = 4936)
|
| 23 | 10:30 AM | 2546 |
c(2.5% = 1504)
|
c(97.5% = 3397)
|
| 24 | 10:30 AM | 2091 |
c(2.5% = 1294)
|
c(97.5% = 2730)
|
| 25 | 10:30 AM | 2123 |
c(2.5% = 1248)
|
c(97.5% = 2911)
|
| 26 | 10:30 AM | 2797 |
c(2.5% = 1978)
|
c(97.5% = 3386)
|
| 27 | 10:30 AM | 3673 |
c(2.5% = 2287)
|
c(97.5% = 4565)
|
| 28 | 10:30 AM | 1601 |
c(2.5% = 902)
|
c(97.5% = 2261)
|
| 29 | 10:30 AM | 1504 |
c(2.5% = 990)
|
c(97.5% = 1951)
|
| 30 | 10:30 AM | 2806 |
c(2.5% = 2165)
|
c(97.5% = 3372)
|
| 31 | 10:30 AM | 2339 |
c(2.5% = 1815)
|
c(97.5% = 2665)
|
| 32 | 10:30 AM | 2642 |
c(2.5% = 1487)
|
c(97.5% = 3679)
|
| 33 | 10:30 AM | 2375 |
c(2.5% = 1079)
|
c(97.5% = 3757)
|
| 34 | 10:30 AM | 5491 |
c(2.5% = 3619)
|
c(97.5% = 6979)
|
| 35 | 10:30 AM | 3869 |
c(2.5% = 2265)
|
c(97.5% = 5168)
|
| 36 | 10:30 AM | 4396 |
c(2.5% = 2900)
|
c(97.5% = 5431)
|
| 37 | 10:30 AM | 1727 |
c(2.5% = 945)
|
c(97.5% = 2491)
|
| 38 | 10:30 AM | 2731 |
c(2.5% = 1855)
|
c(97.5% = 3550)
|
| 39 | 10:30 AM | 5283 |
c(2.5% = 3812)
|
c(97.5% = 6518)
|
| 40 | 10:30 AM | 5811 |
c(2.5% = 3559)
|
c(97.5% = 7587)
|
| 41 | 10:30 AM | 2392 |
c(2.5% = 1391)
|
c(97.5% = 3333)
|
| 42 | 10:30 AM | 3084 |
c(2.5% = 1629)
|
c(97.5% = 4444)
|
| 43 | 10:30 AM | 2484 |
c(2.5% = 1211)
|
c(97.5% = 3806)
|
| 44 | 10:30 AM | 1848 |
c(2.5% = 1113)
|
c(97.5% = 2448)
|
| 45 | 10:30 AM | 2658 |
c(2.5% = 1606)
|
c(97.5% = 3620)
|
| 46 | 10:30 AM | 3293 |
c(2.5% = 2440)
|
c(97.5% = 4095)
|
| 47 | 10:30 AM | 1093 |
c(2.5% = 660)
|
c(97.5% = 1450)
|
| 48 | 10:30 AM | 2581 |
c(2.5% = 1614)
|
c(97.5% = 3285)
|
| 49 | 10:30 AM | 3336 |
c(2.5% = 2003)
|
c(97.5% = 4461)
|
| 50 | 10:30 AM | 4397 |
c(2.5% = 3094)
|
c(97.5% = 5656)
|
| 51 | 10:30 AM | 2956 |
c(2.5% = 1833)
|
c(97.5% = 3954)
|
| 52 | 10:30 AM | 3533 |
c(2.5% = 2424)
|
c(97.5% = 4616)
|
| 53 | 10:30 AM | 2672 |
c(2.5% = 1549)
|
c(97.5% = 3625)
|
| 54 | 10:30 AM | 1998 |
c(2.5% = 1066)
|
c(97.5% = 2873)
|
| 55 | 10:30 AM | 3118 |
c(2.5% = 1839)
|
c(97.5% = 4339)
|
| 56 | 10:30 AM | 4426 |
c(2.5% = 2791)
|
c(97.5% = 5928)
|
| 57 | 10:30 AM | 3755 |
c(2.5% = 2450)
|
c(97.5% = 4921)
|
| 58 | 10:30 AM | 6361 |
c(2.5% = 4054)
|
c(97.5% = 8385)
|
| 59 | 10:30 AM | 3122 |
c(2.5% = 2011)
|
c(97.5% = 3993)
|
| 60 | 10:30 AM | 2502 |
c(2.5% = 1603)
|
c(97.5% = 3210)
|
| 61 | 10:30 AM | 3874 |
c(2.5% = 2343)
|
c(97.5% = 5169)
|
| 62 | 10:30 AM | 2951 |
c(2.5% = 1631)
|
c(97.5% = 4190)
|
| 63 | 10:30 AM | 3530 |
c(2.5% = 2414)
|
c(97.5% = 4534)
|
| 64 | 10:30 AM | 2089 |
c(2.5% = 1275)
|
c(97.5% = 2859)
|
| 65 | 10:30 AM | 2955 |
c(2.5% = 1936)
|
c(97.5% = 3890)
|
| 66 | 10:30 AM | 6259 |
c(2.5% = 4049)
|
c(97.5% = 8203)
|
Raw Submissions
| Time of Vote | Precinct | Voter Number |
| 7:10 AM | 5107 | 2 |
| 7:41 AM | 0537 | 24 |
| 7:42 AM | 0501 | 14 |
| 7:43 AM | 0828 | 33 |
| 7:03 AM | 2714 | 2 |
| 7:40 AM | 1508 | 38 |
| 7:48 AM | 1503 | 38 |
| 7:48 AM | 1503 | 38 |
| 7:25 AM | 0214 | 16 |
| 7:56 AM | 3636 | 33 |
| 7:13 AM | 0218 | 9 |
| 8:07 AM | 4603 | 27 |
| 8:16 AM | 0218 | 60 |
| 8:18 AM | 0222 | 68 |
| 8:10 AM | 1810 | 36 |
| 8:20 AM | 3635 | 57 |
| 8:30 AM | 3110 | 55 |
| 8:32 AM | 0532 | 69 |
| 8:30 AM | 2707 | 45 |
| 8:32 AM | 2702 | 48 |
| 8:15 AM | 3901 | 52 |
| 8:15 AM | 3640 | 64 |
| 8:38 AM | 3638 | 55 |
| 8:38 AM | 3637 | 31 |
| 8:42 AM | 0525 | 64 |
| 8:40 AM | 0501 | 36 |
| 7:30 AM | 0202 | 28 |
| 8:40 AM | 0537 | 56 |
| 8:12 AM | 4616 | 41 |
| 8:35 AM | 3909 | 65 |
| 8:43 AM | 0517 | 69 |
| 8:49 AM | 0834 | 73 |
| 8:49 AM | 0206 | 69 |
| 8:50 AM | 0828 | 77 |
| 8:07 AM | 0801 | 40 |
| 7:30 AM | 3640 | 31 |
| 7:30 AM | 3104 | 29 |
| 8:50 AM | 0213 | 25 |
| 8:40 AM | 2717 | 56 |
| 8:45 AM | 2101 | 47 |
| 8:25 AM | 3945 | 52 |
| 7:48 AM | 1503 | 38 |
| 7:48 AM | 1503 | 38 |
| 9:02 AM | 1503 | 92 |
| 7:15 AM | 0902 | 12 |
| 8:40 AM | 2717 | 56 |
| 7:01 AM | 0807 | 13 |
| 9:09 AM | 4701 | 73 |
| 8:50 AM | 0213 | 25 |
| 9:10 AM | 1514 | 81 |
| 7:55 AM | 1517 | 30 |
| 9:00 AM | 3914 | 40 |
| 8:00 AM | 5702 | 60 |
| 8:30 AM | 2105 | 91 |
| 8:30 AM | 2105 | 91 |
| 9:15 AM | 2714 | 51 |
| 8:15 AM | 2605 | 56 |
| 9:20 AM | 3637 | 100 |
| 9:20 AM | 3638 | 79 |
| 8:30 AM | 0521 | 92 |
| 9:20 AM | 0532 | 112 |
| 9:15 AM | 1802 | 73 |
| 9:24 AM | 2911 | 62 |
| 9:03 AM | 0229 | 95 |
| 9:23 AM | 0812 | 138 |
| 8:50 AM | 0828 | 77 |
| 9:00 AM | 3107 | 100 |
| 9:15 AM | 3639 | 86 |
| 9:15 AM | 0120 | 76 |
| 9:30 AM | 0308 | 109 |
| 9:30 AM | 0807 | 98 |
| 9:25 AM | 3610 | 84 |
| 9:34 AM | 0818 | 50 |
| 9:34 AM | 0818 | 50 |
| 9:35 AM | 0817 | 107 |
| 8:40 AM | 1514 | 68 |
| 8:00 AM | 0106 | 69 |
| 8:40 AM | 1514 | 68 |
| 9:38 AM | 6008 | 49 |
| 9:30 AM | 3636 | 108 |
| 7:15 AM | 0114 | 9 |
| 9:46 AM | 3111 | 104 |
| 9:47 AM | 0204 | 72 |
| 9:50 AM | 0505 | 92 |
| 9:55 AM | 0528 | 148 |
| 9:45 AM | 0224 | 110 |
| 9:45 AM | 0224 | 109 |
| 7:45 AM | 0517 | 35 |
| 9:58 AM | 3636 | 120 |
| 9:49 AM | 2212 | 74 |
| 8:00 AM | 0817 | 100 |
| 10:05 AM | 1503 | 129 |
| 10:02 AM | 0517 | 135 |
| 8:15 AM | 3516 | 56 |
| 7:20 AM | 2217 | 17 |
| 8:15 AM | 3516 | 56 |
| 7:40 AM | 2105 | 45 |
| 10:00 AM | 0110 | 97 |
| 9:40 AM | 0222 | 97 |
| 10:00 AM | 2622 | 82 |
| 10:03 AM | 3006 | 101 |
| 8:15 AM | 2619 | 77 |
| 10:02 AM | 0835 | 100 |
| 10:18 AM | 3104 | 156 |
| 10:20 AM | 4701 | 114 |
| 7:45 AM | 0516 | 41 |
| 10:18 AM | 0515 | 420 |
| 8:28 AM | 0516 | 70 |
| 9:50 AM | 0505 | 92 |
| 10:15 AM | 3641 | 78 |
| 9:50 AM | 0505 | 92 |
| 10:29 AM | 0509 | 188 |
| 10:30 AM | 1513 | 95 |
Download the csvs: - Raw Submissions - Division Predictions